Prolonged disruptions from the Middle East conflict could cut growth and push inflation higher across much of Asia and the Pacific, new research by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) warns. If energy market disruptions last more than a year, economic growth in the region’s developing economies could fall by up to 1.3 percentage points over 2026–2027, while inflation could rise by 3.2 percentage points, according to an ADB brief on the macroeconomic risks of the war.